of the Week (fwap!)
Honestly, I couldn't come up with many games at all on this week's schedule. Here are some of the ideas I *was* going to go with:
- Pick Florida State to cover a 30+ point spread. I considered it, but there's too much of an element of the "intentional mush" involved. It also seemed silly to hinge LOCKS on the mere fact that all of these teams are rolling. Florida State seemed like the strongest play against Syracuse (they're *bad*), but then I looked at Syracuse's schedule and they hung around a lot of these games. Florida State was favored by 40, then eventually 38. It still seems like a tough call. FSU really is that good, but if the Orange score even 10 points, the 38 point spread is severely threatened. I stayed away.
- Pick USC to cover at home against Stanford. It was going to be a great plan UNTIL I learned the Stanford Cardinal are favored by only 4 points. With only 4 points between them, I had to just let the situation play out. I feel pretty confident about USC, even to the point where I can imagine them winning the game, but as a LOCK? No go.
- Pick Green Bay to cover +6.5 at the Giants. Packers w/ a backup QB at the Meadowlands… it could be a very interesting game, and probably a closer game than we think but GB with a backup QB going against a Giants team that's been all-out unpredictable (although pretty lousy the whole time) is a tough decision. LOCKS are easy decisions.