Thursday, September 13, 2012
Dave's LOCKS of the Week: NFL Week 2
Here's another upsetting round of
of the Week (sizzle)
This week I'm adding in an NFL LOCK and here it is:
I like Buffalo to get win number one at home against the Chiefs. Since the line is only -3, I'll take the pick at face value: giving the points and taking the Bills to win. I think they'd win by exactly four to be honest, but that's good enough to cover.
Back to college... here comes a big underdog for you all. I love, LOVE, Stanford to cover +8 at home vs USC. That doesn't seem like a very big line, but I am quite positive the very smart Cardinal will take advantage of SC's weak secondary and make this game closer than a lot of people expect. Stanford +8.
There's also a point spread that I couldn't disagree with more: Arkansas +21?? Is that the punishment for losing to Louisiana-Monroe? Even so, I think Vegas overreacted to one bad loss for an otherwise good team. I also don't think Alabama is so good that they'll blow away the 3rd or 4th best team in their division. I will take Razorbacks and the points with confidence. Arkansas +21
I'll play the LSU game and go with the Tigers -42.5 at home vs Idaho. Idaho is a special kind of bad: last year they lost 37-7 at Texas A&M and 56-3 at Nevada! Sometimes I think I select these bets because I enjoy seeing LSU rack up the points. I'm going to do it again, LSU -42.5.
Enjoy the games, and hopefully you'll enjoy these hypothetical wagers.